Thinking ahead: Government spending must take into account numerous short- and long-term factors
With a balanced budget for 2014, Saudi Arabia plans to spend everything it expects to earn. However, the biggest influence on revenue is the price that the Saudi Arabian Oil Company is able to charge for a barrel of its oil, meaning there is a significant margin for error in fiscal planning. In 2013 the government earned more and spent more than it had planned. The SR855bn ($228bn) it plans to spend in 2014 is 4% higher than the SR820bn ($219bn) it budgeted for 2013, and in line with the IMF’s GDP growth prediction of 4.4% for 2014. Yet planned expenditure is 7.5% less than
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