Analysis

An unorthodox approach: Understanding the central bank’s corridor interest rate policy
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Monetary policy is not as simple or predictable as it used to be anywhere, but Turkey’s central bank governor, Erdem Başç›, is breaking new ground in making things more complicated and keeping people guessing. Since being promoted from deputy governor in 2011, Başç› has been alternately criticised and applauded for the innovative and often unexpected moves he has taken in trying to steer…

Analysis

A new era: Resolving the conflict in the south-east may bring economic benefits
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For decades, when Turks spoke of their relationship with Kurds in the south-east of Turkey, the topic was usually terrorist bombings, or youthful years spent manning a military outpost on a remote mountainside in sub-zero temperatures. In 2013, the topics are the potential for resolution talks to bring about an investment upgrade, the big oil deals in Iraq’s Kurdish region that are being linked to…

Analysis

Enough to go around: Lending is on the rise in a number of segments
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Restrained by a cautious central bank governor and chastened by rising non-performing loans (NPLs) in the consumer segment, Turkish banks are maintaining a relatively moderate pace of lending growth in 2013. Although global financial conditions loosened dramatically in late 2012 and early 2013, Turkish banks were expected to increase loans by 15-20% in 2013, around the same pace or a little faster…

Analysis

Reality check: Analysing the government’s targets for 2023
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Looking forward to the 100th anniversary in 2023 of the founding of the Republic of Turkey, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his government have set a number of goals for the country, some of them highly ambitious. These targets are to some extent an effort by Erdoğan to promote his bid to become president with executive powers, but they are also seen as positive catalysts to promote reforms. Tough,…

Analysis

On the international stage: Local players retain a large share, but global players remain interested
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It was once thought inevitable that Western multinational banking groups would come to dominate the banking sector in Turkey, as they have in many peer emerging European countries. But five years after the global financial crisis, those groups’ demands for larger acquisitions have hardly recovered, and Turkey’s banking sector is moving on. As the banking sector grows into a regional powerhouse,…